Sunday Bet Builder Tips: Five to back on the final day of the season up 19/1

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·19 May 2024

Sunday Bet Builder Tips: Five to back on the final day of the season up 19/1

Betfair Premier League Superboost

In a weekend where the title is heading to either Manchester or North London, both Pep Guardiola's and Mikel Arteta's side must turn up on Sunday, just incase the other does win. City know the title is theirs with a win, whilst Arsenal are relying on West Ham to do them a favour and any dropped points from City means the Gunners can win the title with a win over Everton.

Betfair have decided to get involved in the title race, and offer a Superboost across both title defining matches, with both the West Ham and Everton GK each to make 3+ saves, now priced at 1/12.00 (was [1/4!]).

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Interestingly, only Man Utd's goalkeeper has a higher save ratio than Everton's (74%) and West Ham's (73%), with Jordan Pickford (3.2) and Alphone Areola (4.3) averaging over the 3+ barrier in their Premier League games this season.

Both 'keepers are set to be very busy on Sunday, as not only do they come up against sides who need to win, they come up against sides who are in red hot form in front of goal.

Man City are averaging 7.6 shots on target per home game in 2024, firing 36 on target across their last three games. They also lead the league overall this season with 7.2 per game.

Arsenal meanwhile, have managed 3+ shots on target in all eight of their home games in 2024, averaging 7.1 per game since the turn of the year.

Expect Pickford and Areola to be in the firing line on Sunday.

16:00 - Crystal Palace v Aston Villa

Crystal Palace have won more Premier League home games against Aston Villa than they have against any other opponent (7), including six of their last eight against them at Selhurst Park (L2). In their last home match, the Eagles swatted Manchester United aside 4-0. That victory was part of a run that has seen them win five of their last six matches.

Villa have enjoyed a brilliant season but have failed to win their last five in all competitions (L3D2). Palace have won their past two home matches to nil and it is tempting to back them to do the same here.

The Villans attack is impressive, however, and in Ollie Watkins features the player with the most assists in the division (13).

16:00 - Luton v Fulham

Fulham won the reverse fixture 1-0 at Craven Cottage but Rob Edwards' team, who have given Premier League fans plenty to smile about this season, will be keen to sign off with a win.

The Cottagers haven't won their final league game in any of the last six seasons (D1 L5) and their players' thoughts may have already turned to the holidays.

Mind you, the Hatters have lost four of their last five (D1), so a point may be the best their fans can hope for on Sunday. With Fulham failing to score in their last two, there's a compelling case for backing unders.

16:00 - Liverpool v Wolves

Liverpool have won 13 of their last 14 Premier League meetings with Wolves and the Reds will be desperate to give Jurgen Klopp a winning send off on Sunday. The signs are good as they haven't lost on any of the last 16 occasions when they've finished their league campaign with a home game (W14 D2), winning the last eight in a row.

Wolves win rate of 11% on the final day, meanwhile, is the lowest of any side currently in the competition.

The Reds have been sloppy at the back this season, so Gary O'Neil's side should be able to get on the scoresheet. We will back Mo Salah to finish an up and down campaign, by his standards, with two or more goals.

16:00 - Man City v West Ham

Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 16 Premier League games against West Ham (W13 D3) and would be a brave punter who went against Pep Guardiola's men. City need only win this match to seal the Premier League title.

City lost their final match of last season 1-0 at Brentford but they had already wrapped up the title by then. West Ham have lost their final league game in each of the last two seasons.

Erling Haaland has nine goals in his last six league matches and we think he can bag more than one here.

Tottenham have lost their final league game in just one of the last 13 seasons (W10 D2) and should be confident of beating a relegated Sheffield United team that have lost seven of their last 10 matches

The Blades have found the net in four of their last five matches, however, so backing both teams to score looks wise, especially as the reverse fixture finished 2-1 and only thanks to two late Spurs goals.

Son Heung-min missed a crucial chance for Spurs in their midweek defeat to Man City and could be keen to make amends, so we will back him to find the net.